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Calls › ADBE
ADBE Adobe Inc. · Technology

1 research call since Oct 16. Latest view: Lean bullish

Last close
$249.76 2026-10-28
1 week
-2.1%
1 month
+8.1%
3 months
-5.2%
1 year
-30.6%
Latest call vs SPY
-0.8% since 2026-10-15
Technical scan
Strong Buy rank 61 of 127

Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls

200.00250.00300.00350.002025-10-282026-04-302026-10-28Lean bullish · Oct 16, 20262025-10-28: 359.912025-10-29: 337.862025-10-30: 339.242025-10-31: 340.312025-11-03: 337.472025-11-04: 335.352025-11-05: 335.532025-11-06: 327.352025-11-07: 326.952025-11-10: 328.852025-11-11: 333.222025-11-12: 337.052025-11-13: 333.602025-11-14: 331.112025-11-17: 325.072025-11-18: 324.472025-11-19: 318.112025-11-20: 312.402025-11-21: 324.192025-11-24: 318.732025-11-25: 319.552025-11-26: 317.522025-11-28: 320.132025-12-01: 322.852025-12-02: 322.812025-12-03: 326.782025-12-04: 328.732025-12-05: 346.262025-12-08: 339.122025-12-09: 344.322025-12-10: 343.132025-12-11: 350.432025-12-12: 356.432025-12-15: 351.152025-12-16: 347.892025-12-17: 354.662025-12-18: 355.812025-12-19: 355.862025-12-22: 357.532025-12-23: 352.422025-12-24: 352.982025-12-26: 353.802025-12-29: 353.162025-12-30: 352.512025-12-31: 349.992026-01-02: 333.302026-01-05: 331.562026-01-06: 335.992026-01-07: 338.102026-01-08: 339.042026-01-09: 333.952026-01-12: 327.652026-01-13: 309.932026-01-14: 304.442026-01-15: 304.092026-01-16: 296.122026-01-20: 290.372026-01-21: 294.232026-01-22: 299.732026-01-23: 301.072026-01-26: 304.722026-01-27: 297.422026-01-28: 299.582026-01-29: 291.652026-01-30: 293.252026-02-02: 293.382026-02-03: 271.932026-02-04: 279.712026-02-05: 269.392026-02-06: 268.382026-02-09: 266.902026-02-10: 264.672026-02-11: 257.162026-02-12: 262.502026-02-13: 263.972026-02-17: 260.452026-02-18: 263.172026-02-19: 259.212026-02-20: 258.612026-02-23: 246.682026-02-24: 255.172026-02-25: 257.812026-02-26: 259.042026-02-27: 262.412026-03-02: 260.882026-03-03: 270.992026-03-04: 273.122026-03-05: 281.742026-03-06: 283.622026-03-09: 282.442026-03-10: 275.132026-03-11: 273.712026-03-12: 269.782026-03-13: 249.322026-03-16: 251.862026-03-17: 254.202026-03-18: 246.002026-03-19: 245.992026-03-20: 248.152026-03-23: 247.642026-03-24: 238.872026-03-25: 237.252026-03-26: 240.882026-03-27: 234.842026-03-30: 241.132026-03-31: 243.082026-04-01: 241.372026-04-02: 242.922026-04-06: 244.362026-04-07: 240.142026-04-08: 239.312026-04-09: 229.942026-04-10: 225.352026-04-13: 240.112026-04-14: 235.722026-04-15: 244.662026-04-16: 248.162026-04-17: 244.452026-04-20: 248.632026-04-21: 247.182026-04-22: 255.942026-04-23: 238.982026-04-24: 245.442026-04-27: 239.312026-04-28: 243.202026-04-29: 243.572026-04-30: 246.102026-05-01: 250.712026-05-04: 253.962026-05-05: 255.622026-05-06: 250.172026-05-07: 256.512026-05-08: 253.042026-05-11: 246.152026-05-12: 240.832026-05-13: 236.072026-05-14: 237.012026-05-15: 247.602026-05-18: 255.642026-05-19: 254.992026-05-20: 253.372026-05-21: 244.102026-05-22: 244.762026-05-26: 240.492026-05-27: 238.242026-05-28: 241.442026-05-29: 259.212026-06-01: 274.032026-06-02: 262.112026-06-03: 256.242026-06-04: 258.422026-06-05: 251.442026-06-08: 244.992026-06-09: 237.882026-06-10: 233.382026-06-11: 218.802026-06-12: 204.022026-06-15: 206.362026-06-16: 207.322026-06-17: 196.282026-06-18: 195.162026-06-22: 194.902026-06-23: 197.432026-06-24: 196.572026-06-25: 193.412026-06-26: 202.732026-06-29: 206.432026-06-30: 205.022026-07-01: 210.982026-07-02: 219.722026-07-06: 218.072026-07-07: 221.542026-07-08: 220.942026-07-09: 222.652026-07-10: 223.642026-07-13: 230.612026-07-14: 220.782026-07-15: 224.562026-07-16: 235.312026-07-17: 237.252026-07-20: 234.742026-07-21: 227.162026-07-22: 218.362026-07-23: 212.172026-07-24: 225.112026-07-27: 237.752026-07-28: 249.182026-07-29: 263.432026-07-30: 247.902026-07-31: 250.412026-08-03: 251.342026-08-04: 257.492026-08-05: 259.322026-08-06: 260.242026-08-07: 265.212026-08-10: 272.962026-08-11: 263.712026-08-12: 258.752026-08-13: 270.492026-08-14: 264.022026-08-17: 254.042026-08-18: 263.142026-08-19: 272.472026-08-20: 272.222026-08-21: 275.302026-08-24: 276.272026-08-25: 273.922026-08-26: 273.472026-08-27: 289.152026-08-28: 291.522026-08-31: 292.792026-09-01: 286.082026-09-02: 279.792026-09-03: 285.752026-09-04: 266.512026-09-08: 257.262026-09-09: 254.862026-09-10: 248.832026-09-11: 252.232026-09-14: 265.602026-09-15: 257.762026-09-16: 250.502026-09-17: 252.672026-09-18: 248.922026-09-21: 249.522026-09-22: 238.252026-09-23: 240.692026-09-24: 238.932026-09-25: 235.472026-09-28: 231.012026-09-29: 233.172026-09-30: 239.942026-10-01: 241.282026-10-02: 237.692026-10-05: 238.792026-10-06: 238.122026-10-07: 232.772026-10-08: 241.052026-10-09: 242.272026-10-12: 238.142026-10-13: 236.282026-10-14: 240.682026-10-15: 251.672026-10-16: 245.202026-10-19: 247.092026-10-20: 256.732026-10-21: 255.062026-10-22: 270.552026-10-23: 263.822026-10-26: 258.622026-10-27: 248.362026-10-28: 249.76

Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-28

MACD: Bullish WeakeningOBV: Confirmed Uptrend

Notable moves days ADBE was among the market's biggest movers

  • 2026-10-22  +6.1% HSBC upgrade to Buy · $270.55
  • 2026-10-20  +3.9% Top gainer of the day · $256.73
  • 2026-10-15  +4.6% Top gainer of the day · $251.67
  • 2026-09-30  +2.9% Top gainer of the day · $239.94
  • 2026-09-22  -4.5% Top decliner of the day · $238.25
  • 2026-09-04  -6.7% CEO succession announced · $266.51
  • 2026-08-27  +5.7% Top gainer of the day · $289.15
  • 2026-08-18  +3.6% CLSA initiates coverage · $263.14
  • 2026-08-17  -3.8% Top decliner of the day · $254.04
  • 2026-07-30  -5.9% Earnings miss · $247.90
  • 2026-07-29  +5.7% Wells Fargo raises price · $263.43
  • 2026-07-24  +6.1% Top gainer of the day · $225.11

What would change the latest view

  • FY27 initial guidance implies total ARR growth below ~7-8% or explicitly negative new-ARR growth — confirms the Wells Fargo thesis and the value-trap read
  • Disclosure of Creative Cloud seat declines, elevated churn, or subscription revenue deceleration below ~8% y/y
  • AI-first ARR growth stalling below ~50% y/y, removing the 'AI as supplement' evidence
  • Buyback pace materially slowing, removing the EPS-compounding floor

All calls on ADBE

ADBE Lean bullish
Oct 16, 2026 · Adobe Inc. · edge 5/10· evidence 8/10

Yes — priced for decline it hasn't shown.

Adobe's 46% drawdown is a pure idiosyncratic multiple-compression event (99% idiosyncratic vs SPY) driven by terminal-value fear about AI disruption, not by observed fundamental deterioration. Fundamentals improved through the derating: FY26 guidance raised, AI-first ARR >$650M and growing >150% y/y, revisions net positive. At ~10x forward earnings with a buyback equal to ~25%…

Entry $251.67 (2026-10-15) 1m vs SPY: -0.8% so far

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