Accountability
Track record
Every call the engine has published, scored against the market from the day it went out. Nothing is edited after publication and nothing is left out: misses sit next to hits.
Research calls are opinions, not trades. The money-on-the-line version is our portfolio, traded from the nightly scan with every fill public.
103
Calls published
on 72 tickers since Aug 9
63.6%
Beat the market at 1 month
7 of 11 directional calls that have reached one month
+0.1%
Average edge over the market
1-month return minus benchmark, directional calls
Every call vs SPY, or BTC for crypto · * still running
| Published | Ticker | View | Edge | Evidence | Entry | 1 week | 1 month | 3 months | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | STLA | No clear edge | — | 7 | $4.14 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 28 | LULU | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $104.59 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 28 | COIN | No clear edge | — | 7 | $161.09 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 28 | HOOD | Lean bullish | 5 | 6 | $92.84 | +1.3%* | +1.3%* | +1.3%* | running |
| Oct 27 | UPS | Lean bullish | 5 | 8 | $100.32 | +5.2%* | +5.2%* | +5.2%* | running |
| Oct 27 | AAVE | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $131.15 | +0.7%* | +0.7%* | +0.7%* | running |
| Oct 27 | PG | Neutral | — | 7 | $159.92 | -1.0%* | -1.0%* | -1.0%* | running |
| Oct 26 | MELI | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $1,810.15 | -8.4%* | -8.4%* | -8.4%* | running |
| Oct 26 | MSFT | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $524.51 | +0.0%* | +0.0%* | +0.0%* | running |
| Oct 26 | ALGO | Lean bearish | 5 | 6 | $0.1047 | -2.1%* | -2.1%* | -2.1%* | running |
| Oct 26 | INTU | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $343.39 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 26 | AXP | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $313.22 | -1.4%* | -1.4%* | -1.4%* | running |
| Oct 25 | SOL | No clear edge | — | 6 | $102.56 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 24 | DOGE | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $0.0773 | -0.2%* | -0.2%* | -0.2%* | running |
| Oct 23 | LMT | Neutral | — | 7 | $589.91 | +4.9%* | +4.9%* | +4.9%* | running |
| Oct 23 | NEM | No clear edge | — | 7 | $114.11 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 23 | BTC | No clear edge | — | 6 | $81,627.27 | +0.0%* | +0.0%* | +0.0%* | running |
| Oct 22 | XLM | No clear edge | — | 6 | $0.1800 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 22 | VRTX | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $524.52 | -0.2%* | -0.2%* | -0.2%* | running |
| Oct 22 | ETH | No clear edge | — | 7 | $2,405.09 | -1.6%* | -1.6%* | -1.6%* | running |
| Oct 22 | SPCX | Lean bullish | 5 | 5 | $147.79 | +0.5% | +0.5%* | +0.5%* | running |
| Oct 21 | USB | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $59.09 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 21 | ADA | No clear edge | — | 8 | $0.2294 | -5.8% | -6.3%* | -6.3%* | running |
| Oct 21 | CRM | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $242.43 | -0.7% | -0.7%* | -0.7%* | running |
| Oct 20 | WFC | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $81.80 | +1.2% | +0.6%* | +0.6%* | running |
| Oct 20 | MCD | Lean bearish | 6 | 6 | $242.67 | +3.5% | +2.4%* | +2.4%* | running |
| Oct 20 | UNI | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $6.87 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 19 | INTC | Lean bullish | 5 | 6 | $89.85 | -2.8% | +3.5%* | +3.5%* | running |
| Oct 19 | TSLA | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $354.72 | +5.4% | +14.0%* | +14.0%* | running |
| Oct 19 | META | No clear edge | — | 7 | $709.33 | -9.0% | -13.4%* | -13.4%* | running |
| Oct 19 | TMO | No clear edge | — | 7 | $690.00 | -1.9% | -0.4%* | -0.4%* | running |
| Oct 18 | UBER | Lean bullish | 6 | 7 | $70.35 | -4.8% | -7.3%* | -7.3%* | running |
| Oct 18 | XRP | Lean bearish | 5 | 6 | $1.27 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 17 | OXY | Neutral | — | 7 | $62.38 | +3.3% | -0.3%* | -0.3%* | running |
| Oct 17 | AAVE | No clear edge | — | 6 | $154.66 | -5.9% | -13.0%* | -13.0%* | running |
| Oct 16 | SOL | No clear edge | — | 7 | $102.71 | -0.4%* | -0.4%* | -0.4%* | running |
| Oct 16 | DHR | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $231.50 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 16 | TSLA | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $362.44 | +3.2% | +12.7%* | +12.7%* | running |
| Oct 16 | GE | No clear edge | — | 6 | $312.00 | -6.1% | -4.3%* | -4.3%* | running |
| Oct 16 | ADBE | Lean bullish | 5 | 8 | $251.67 | +7.3% | -1.0%* | -1.0%* | running |
| Oct 16 | SOFI | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $15.09 | -2.3% | +9.0%* | +9.0%* | running |
| Oct 16 | NFLX | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $70.57 | -8.3% | -11.4%* | -11.4%* | running |
| Oct 15 | PLTR | No clear edge | — | 7 | $200.97 | -0.1% | -1.1%* | -1.1%* | running |
| Oct 15 | AMT | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $179.40 | -1.4% | +2.5%* | +2.5%* | running |
| Oct 15 | SUI | No clear edge | — | 6 | $0.9900 | +3.9%* | +3.9%* | +3.9%* | running |
| Oct 15 | MU | Lean bullish | 6 | 7 | $914.13 | -0.5% | +1.6%* | +1.6%* | running |
| Oct 15 | AAPL | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $341.27 | +1.0% | +2.8%* | +2.8%* | running |
| Oct 14 | PLD | No clear edge | — | 7 | $133.55 | -3.1% | -4.2%* | -4.2%* | running |
| Oct 14 | JNJ | Neutral | — | 7 | $248.61 | +5.8% | +9.2%* | +9.2%* | running |
| Oct 14 | TTD | No clear edge | — | 7 | $12.17 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 14 | ABT | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 7 | $102.61 | +1.3% | +1.6%* | +1.6%* | running |
| Oct 14 | CRWV | No clear edge | — | 7 | $77.81 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 14 | NFLX | Lean bullish | 6 | 8 | $70.46 | -1.0% | -10.2%* | -10.2%* | running |
| Oct 14 | NKE | Lean bearish | 4 | 7 | $35.33 | +8.7% | +7.4%* | +7.4%* | running |
| Oct 13 | BAC | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $54.58 | -6.2% | -6.1%* | -6.1%* | running |
| Oct 13 | AMZN | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 6.5 | $259.53 | +2.6% | -1.4%* | -1.4%* | running |
| Oct 13 | JPM | Neutral | — | 7 | $334.30 | +1.3% | +1.5%* | +1.5%* | running |
| Oct 13 | META | No clear edge | — | 7 | $742.96 | -3.6% | -15.4%* | -15.4%* | running |
| Oct 12 | UNH | Lean bullish | 5 | 6 | $379.30 | +7.8% | +9.3%* | +9.3%* | running |
| Oct 12 | C | Neutral | — | 7 | $129.64 | -2.2% | -4.2%* | -4.2%* | running |
| Oct 12 | MS | No clear edge | — | 6 | $190.02 | -3.0% | -0.5%* | -0.5%* | running |
| Oct 11 | NEAR | Lean bearish | 4 | 6.5 | $5.72 | -11.6% | -9.7%* | -9.7%* | running |
| Oct 11 | HD | Lean bearish | 4 | 7 | $290.74 | +8.5% | +10.7%* | +10.7%* | running |
| Oct 11 | TSM | Lean bullish | 5 | 6 | $453.31 | -7.0% | -2.5%* | -2.5%* | running |
| Oct 10 | NFLX | Neutral | — | 7 | $70.30 | +2.3% | -9.9%* | -9.9%* | running |
| Oct 10 | AVAX | Lean bearish | 4 | 6 | $10.36 | -1.9% | -11.1%* | -11.1%* | running |
| Oct 9 | MCD | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $236.90 | +2.9% | +5.9%* | +5.9%* | running |
| Oct 9 | PEP | No clear edge | — | 7 | $128.34 | +0.6% | +4.6%* | +4.6%* | running |
| Oct 8 | GOOGL | Lean bullish | 5 | 6 | $350.50 | +0.2% | -7.6%* | -7.6%* | running |
| Oct 8 | ABNB | Lean bullish | 5 | 6 | $160.39 | +3.4% | +6.5%* | +6.5%* | running |
| Oct 7 | LULU | No clear edge | — | 8 | $93.61 | +0.9% | +12.9%* | +12.9%* | running |
| Oct 7 | NFLX | Lean bullish | 6 | 8 | $68.69 | +2.7% | -7.8%* | -7.8%* | running |
| Oct 6 | AXP | Lean bullish | 6 | 7 | $304.02 | +2.0% | +3.6%* | +3.6%* | running |
| Oct 6 | MCD | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 7 | $231.89 | +0.3% | +7.6%* | +7.6%* | running |
| Oct 6 | UBER | Lean bullish | 6 | 7 | $68.11 | +3.8% | -3.4%* | -3.4%* | running |
| Oct 5 | VOO | Lean bearish | 4 | 7 | $712.32 | — | — | — | running |
| Oct 5 | MSFT | No clear edge | — | 0 | $512.80 | +0.6% | +2.9%* | +2.9%* | running |
| Oct 4 | META | Lean bearish | 5 | 7 | $728.08 | -2.5% | -14.8%* | -14.8%* | running |
| Sep 29 | GEV | No clear edge | — | 7 | $962.49 | +5.5% | -7.7%* | -7.7%* | running |
| Sep 29 | DASH | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $187.10 | +2.1% | -9.6%* | -9.6%* | running |
| Sep 29 | NKE | No clear edge | — | 7 | $35.84 | -4.8% | +4.1%* | +4.1%* | running |
| Sep 25 | FIG | Lean bullish | 6 | 7 | $21.34 | — | — | — | running |
| Sep 23 | MCD | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 7 | $238.32 | -2.4% | +5.3% | +4.4%* | ahead at 1m |
| Sep 15 | FIG | Lean bullish | 5 | 6 | $23.88 | -10.8% | -11.9%* | -11.9%* | running |
| Sep 13 | LINK | Neutral | — | 7 | $11.50 | +2.8% | +5.5% | -4.4%* | no call made |
| Sep 9 | CRM | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 7 | $244.16 | +3.7% | -8.3% | -2.3%* | behind at 1m |
| Sep 8 | FIG | No clear edge | — | 7 | $22.75 | +6.1% | -6.4%* | -6.4%* | running |
| Sep 7 | LULU | Neutral | — | 7 | $100.61 | -0.9% | -6.0% | +4.0%* | no call made |
| Sep 6 | MCD | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 7 | $255.69 | -0.5% | -9.2% | -2.4%* | behind at 1m |
| Sep 1 | UBER | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $75.24 | -3.4% | -10.1% | -13.6%* | behind at 1m |
| Aug 23 | FIG | No clear edge | — | 7 | $27.10 | +5.9% | -15.8% | -21.4%* | no call made |
| Aug 17 | META | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 7.5 | $568.97 | -0.6% | +20.8% | +9.4%* | ahead at 1m |
| Aug 14 | FIG | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 7 | $25.42 | +8.0% | -7.2% | -14.9%* | behind at 1m |
| Aug 14 | MSFT | Lean bullish | 5 | 7 | $495.40 | -1.1% | +1.6% | +8.1%* | ahead at 1m |
| Aug 14 | PLTR | No clear edge | — | 8 | $174.04 | +4.8% | -2.4% | +15.1%* | no call made |
| Aug 13 | CSCO | Lean bullish | 5 | 6 | $113.47 | -1.5% | +0.6% | -0.8%* | ahead at 1m |
| Aug 12 | GOOG | Neutral | — | 7 | $343.00 | — | — | — | running |
| Aug 12 | ORCL | No clear edge | — | 7 | $153.28 | -5.7% | -0.9% | -14.5%* | no call made |
| Aug 11 | SPCX | Lean bullish | 4.5 | 7.5 | $133.29 | +7.9% | +12.8% | +11.6%* | ahead at 1m |
| Aug 10 | VOO | No clear edge | — | 6.5 | $710.71 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0%* | no call made |
| Aug 9 | MU | Lean bullish | 6 | 6 | $877.57 | +10.3% | +16.2% | +6.3%* | ahead at 1m |
| Aug 9 | UBER | Lean bullish | 5.5 | 7.5 | $75.02 | +0.8% | +1.4% | -11.8%* | ahead at 1m |
| Aug 9 | NVDA | No clear edge | — | — | $223.96 | +0.1% | +3.2% | -2.2%* | no call made |
Does the edge score earn its keep? directional calls · vs the benchmark
Every call carries an edge score from the engine: 4 and below means it saw no edge at the price, 5 to 6 is a lean, 7 and up is a call worth sizing. It is a statement about the opportunity, not about how sure the engine is. If the score means anything, the higher rows below should beat the market more often. This is the test, and it updates with every close.
| Edge score | Calls | Directional | Closed at 1m | Beat market at 1m | Avg vs market at 1m | Closed at 3m | Beat market at 3m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 and below no edge claimed | 46 | 6 | 1 | 100% (1/1) | +2.0% | 0 | — |
| 5 to 6 a lean | 56 | 56 | 10 | 60% (6/10) | -0.1% | 0 | — |
| 7 and up a call | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | — |
1 older call predates the edge score and is left out of this table.
How scoring works
- Entry is the closing price on the day the call was published. It is written once and never changed.
- Benchmark is SPY for stocks and ETFs, BTC for crypto. The numbers above are the call's return minus the benchmark's over the same window.
- Edge and evidence are two separate scores from the engine. Edge is how attractive the opportunity looked at the price: 4 and below means none, 5 to 6 a lean, 7 and up a call. Evidence is how complete and well-sourced the research was. A no-edge call with strong evidence is a normal, honest result, so no-edge and neutral calls show no edge number at all.
- Hit or miss applies to directional calls only: a bullish call hits when it beats the benchmark, a bearish one when it lags it. "No clear edge" and neutral calls make no claim, so they are shown but not scored.
- Three months is the engine's stated horizon and the final verdict; the first three-month results close Nov 6, 2026. One week and one month are shown so nothing is hidden in the meantime.
- Nothing is curated. Every completed run is published automatically. 0 have been pulled by an operator; 6 same-day repeat runs on the same ticker are counted once.