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Calls › SPCX
SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. · Industrials

2 research calls since Aug 11. Latest view: Lean bullish

Edge per call (0–10)
Aug 11, 2026: 4.5Oct 22, 2026: 5
Last close
$145.23 2026-10-28
1 week
-8.8%
1 month
-0.2%
Latest call vs SPY
-2.2% since 2026-10-20
Technical scan
Strong Sell rank 103 of 127

Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls

140.00160.002026-08-212026-09-252026-10-28Lean bullish · Oct 22, 20262026-08-21: 136.972026-08-24: 135.002026-08-25: 137.952026-08-26: 139.632026-08-27: 140.872026-08-28: 141.502026-08-31: 143.692026-09-01: 142.232026-09-02: 140.712026-09-03: 149.742026-09-04: 147.952026-09-08: 153.472026-09-09: 147.552026-09-10: 148.182026-09-11: 151.212026-09-14: 148.152026-09-15: 143.492026-09-16: 150.882026-09-17: 154.812026-09-18: 152.712026-09-21: 151.852026-09-22: 154.722026-09-23: 148.362026-09-24: 148.032026-09-25: 148.682026-09-28: 145.472026-09-29: 149.242026-09-30: 150.862026-10-01: 148.072026-10-02: 158.962026-10-05: 171.092026-10-06: 171.922026-10-07: 167.602026-10-08: 160.572026-10-09: 162.572026-10-12: 163.422026-10-13: 156.542026-10-14: 152.162026-10-15: 148.622026-10-16: 146.032026-10-19: 147.962026-10-20: 147.792026-10-21: 159.312026-10-22: 144.752026-10-23: 147.492026-10-26: 146.902026-10-27: 148.582026-10-28: 145.23

Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-28

MACD: Bearish MomentumOBV: Confirmed Downtrend

What would change the latest view

  • Q4 2026 revenue comes in materially below the guided Q1'27 trajectory (e.g., <$28B annualized run-rate) — guidance was promotional, thesis dead
  • SI disclosures show majority of segment revenue from xAI/related parties or short-duration cancelable contracts
  • An equity raise of >$20B at or below current prices, confirming internal funding inadequacy
  • FY27 consensus fails to migrate toward guidance within ~6 weeks of the Q4 print — analysts themselves don't believe it
  • FCF deterioration beyond ~-$30B on an H2 annualized basis with no stated path to funding-gap closure

All calls on SPCX

SPCX Lean bullish
Oct 22, 2026 · Space Exploration Technologies Corp. · edge 5/10· evidence 5/10

Lean bullish — cautiously.

The market is pricing SPCX as another circularly-financed AI-infra story (CoreWeave-style) at ~$2.1T, while the disclosed numbers imply the largest upward estimate revision in mega-cap history: management guided Q1'27 revenue to $33-37B against a ~$22B consensus, and current FY26 consensus ($45B revenue, ~$0.01 EPS) is stale to the point of absurdity. If Q4 results (due ~Jan…

Entry $147.79 (2026-10-20) 1m vs SPY: -2.2% so far
SPCX Lean bullish
Aug 11, 2026 · Space Exploration Technologies Corp. · edge 4.5/10· evidence 7.5/10

Great company, not yet a clean buy.

The underlying business is compounding at a rare rate: Q2 2026 revenue +92% YoY, adjusted EBITDA +191%, Starlink profitable at $1.66B operating income on $4.29B revenue, and launch dominance intact. However, the equity has already re-rated +21% off the earnings beat while still embedding near-flawless execution of both Starlink scaling and a $15.8B/quarter AI buildout. The…

Entry $133.29 (2026-08-11) 1m vs SPY: +12.8%

Results vs SPY · * still running

PublishedViewEdgeEvidenceEntry1 week1 month3 months
Oct 22 Lean bullish 5 5 $147.79 +0.5% -2.2%* -2.2%*
Aug 11 Lean bullish 4.5 7.5 $133.29 +7.9% +12.8% +8.7%*

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